Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 88.585196 101.080518 115.695787 134.314683 157.796250 186.992317 226.992761
2024-10-20 72.624052 88.276155 108.524749 137.596314 180.059466 243.194966 352.141196
2024-10-27 61.467553 77.661618 99.985769 134.716806 191.143650 287.921974 494.144188
2024-11-03 57.220203 74.940007 100.889255 144.633346 224.250792 385.626810 843.476274
2024-11-10 56.207782 76.346314 107.748725 165.542090 285.763922 589.409916 1969.911007
2024-11-17 51.546172 71.423738 103.523547 165.694751 306.187321 719.309910 3593.712156
2024-11-24 47.305006 66.542776 98.453833 162.794942 318.444685 842.886192 6860.641467
2024-12-01 43.841585 62.478956 94.125892 160.265922 330.707055 989.125026 16413.167451
2024-12-08 41.332557 59.693191 91.633081 160.964766 352.472208 1224.019546 102993.956719
2024-12-15 39.099808 57.129333 89.168805 161.133055 373.267837 1516.722717 NaN
2024-12-22 36.327938 53.389478 84.036352 154.087264 367.783581 1636.297046 NaN
2024-12-29 35.137889 52.294751 83.842039 158.797106 406.101754 2278.805989 NaN
2025-01-05 32.275325 48.273844 77.966008 149.625598 393.923030 2464.891568 NaN
2025-01-12 30.924422 46.883762 77.268524 153.874142 441.018464 3988.422567 NaN
2025-01-19 29.064992 44.396992 74.007071 150.545841 454.157464 5375.725080 NaN
2025-01-26 28.589654 44.406775 75.949338 162.304963 555.549460 16570.198612 NaN
2025-02-02 28.925752 45.970111 81.514391 187.303426 789.325924 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 27.665110 44.304184 79.532020 187.487740 856.594355 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 26.326282 42.375610 76.701055 184.002742 890.610384 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 25.133871 40.653029 74.167756 180.967993 928.308744 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 24.237547 39.462275 72.778657 181.806154 1014.666466 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 23.383221 38.294895 71.314212 182.008043 1101.427803 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 22.204422 36.388749 67.840134 173.572416 1060.570042 NaN NaN